After two years of back and forth, the Fernndez administration scored three unexpected successes in June: Summit of the Americas, G-7 and candidacy for the BRICS.

• Amid economic upheaval, dollar shortages, peso angst, piquetero demands and the government’s internal affairs, foreign policy offers three pieces of good news.

The long-awaited G-7 meeting of the US, Germany, Japan, France, UK, Italy and Canada culminates at Elmau Castle in the beautiful Bavarian Alps. Special guests: India, Indonesia, Senegal, South Africa. and Argentina.

A victory that the opposition does not recognize and that the official spokespersons miss. Someone tried to show that Argentina was invited under their own. Nonsense, since it’s not true. Fernndez’s mere presence in such a forum is a triumph, he doesn’t need any embellishments which, on the other hand, aren’t even accurate.

Argentina was invited because it chairs CELAC, the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States. The government’s foresight in hoisting itself to the head of Celac should be the real pride of the ruling party, which seems determined not to take advantage of its victories, which are, by the way, rare. Senegal is convened because it leads the African Union and Indonesia leads the G-20. The only invitees by their own weight are South Africa, the first country in Africa, and the powerful India, which we will seek to attract and separate from its long close relationship with Russia.

The official deception converges with the myopic opposition, unable to perceive the importance for the G-7 of the continuity of the State. If you don’t do it out of patriotism, you should do it out of convenience. If he wins next year’s election (he currently leads all polls), he will be more likely to succeed if he wins a seat already allocated than if he had to fight for the seat. ‘obtain. Saving time can mean the difference between success and failure.

An essential condition for arousing political (even economic) confidence abroad is to convince others of the continuity of the state, whoever leads it. It is much more relevant than the vaunted legal certainty. Were the huge North American and European investments in China based on the legal certainty of the courts subordinate to the Communist Party or on the predictability that the regime offers?

crack or draft

The crack conditions any continuity of the international policy of Argentina for two decades. The pitfalls of each change of direction and the short-sightedness of successive oppositions favored imaginary conceptions. Each ascribes indescribable goals and enduring subjugation to his rival.

For a certain direction of Cambiemos, Cristina Fernndez sought to make Argentina the Venezuela of Nicols Maduro. Absurd. Not only because that’s not his goal; this model needs the adherence of the armed forces as a pillar of the regime, which no one can believe possible. Not to mention that it is childish to believe that Argentina can follow countries less present.

The defense of the Frente de Todos against the unacceptable regimes of Venezuela and Nicaragua brings nothing but discredit and disappointment. There is a reason why the new Chilean president, a true leftist, disapproves of these dictatorships. The same as Gustavo Petro, the first leftist president in the history of Colombia.

• The ruling party is also making it up: it assumes that the opposition is just a puppet of Washington. The only evidence is that Mauricio Macri is trying to become the man of the United States for the next elections, a place that Patricia Bullrich is vying for. The majority of Cambiemos, on the other hand, do not look to an exclusive horizon.

In government, for its part, there are also supporters of a rapprochement with Washington. As we pointed out a year ago in The EconomistFriends of Moscow, sympathizers of Beijing, supporters of a rapprochement with the European Union but also friends of the United States coexist in the administration.

• Important figures in the state apparatus, such as Sergio Massa, Juan Manzur and Gustavo Bliz, do not hide their preferences for the Americans: the third in a row, the official head of the administration and the secretary for strategic affairs of the nation.

Save Biden

The Casa Rosada (and the Palacio San Martín de Santiago Cafiero) had just scored a hit on the occasion of the IX Summit of the Americas (June 6-10).

The meeting was in danger: Mexico announced that it would not take part, Venezuela was not invited and Brazil has been on Joe Biden’s blacklist since Jair Bolsonaro supported Donald’s fraud charges Trump. Without Argentina, the appeal failed. An unrepresentative fiasco.

• Fernndez surprised by a trick he doesn’t usually use.He hardened his differences with Washington, threatened not to attend and finally reached a reasonable agreement: to participate, protecting in his speech some of the differences between Buenos Aires and Washington. Pictured with Biden. Friendship, neutrality and autonomy. Three constants in the Argentine diplomatic tradition, with a few exceptions.

The icing on the cake, on June 23, Argentina was also invited to the virtual meeting of the XIV Summit of Heads of State of the Brics, an organization that brings together Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.

Almost half of the world’s population and a quarter of the gross product. Fernndez has confirmed his intention to become a full member. The ruling party says the invitation came from Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Casa Rosada sources believe that if Lula becomes the next president, Brazil will favor the Argentine candidacy.

Many say that international politics does not influence the vote, perhaps not directly.

• But it is obvious that the economic and financial decisions of the powers and of the international organizations they lead are guided, inexcusably, from the political point of view…