Forbes Economy and Business Forum 2022

Just over a year into the electoral process for Mexico’s presidency, political experts agreed that Morena had strong candidates for the candidacy, unlike the opposition.

“Andrés Manuel López Obrador has strong candidates and not the opposition. He is a very popular president and he wins the elections,” said Heidi Osuna, managing partner of Enkoll during her participation in the Forbes Economics and Business Forum 2022.

At the table “Advanced succession, between the corcholatas and the opposition”, he commented that according to the polls and studies that have been carried out on who would be the ideal candidate for the presidency, he must be honest, disruptive, because people are tired of only being “knocked” at the president and not proposing.

“The first thing people want is to be honest. The preparation doesn’t matter to them, the experience doesn’t matter either. If we manage to have a candidate of this style (…) of course he can win. The problem is that we don’t have him at the moment,” said Heidi Osuna.

Also, I point out that the alliance will have a chance to win the elections in the State of Mexico, but if it is fragmented as it is now after the PRI proposal on the armed forces, it is difficult for them to win .

Read also : I like Ebrard, Sheinbaum and Adán Augusto López as brothers: AMLO

Carlos Ramírez, co-director of Integralia Consultores, pointed out that in the last decade many leaders with a populist profile have gained strength in different countries because they have appealed to the emotions of the electorate, and this is what brought López Obrador in 2018, anger.

“It seems to me that in 2024 it will be another election of emotions, it will not be an election where we are looking for a technician, a technocrat, a person who talks about figures and public policies. We are still in the era of emotions. It seems to me that anybody that the opposition presents as a potential candidate if they’re not able to appeal to them, I think we’re going to have another election with Morena,” he said.

Meanwhile, Carlos Elizondo, professor-researcher at the School of Social Sciences and Government of the Tecnológico de Monterrey, said the opposition was struggling to find a candidate capable of rallying the 45% of the population who are in disagreement with the López government. Workshop.

In this table, Enkoll presented the results of a survey he conducted only among readers of Forbes Mexico: 29% of respondents answered that if it was the election today, they would vote for Morena; 26% for PAN and 24% for none.

Also, 25% said they would vote for Claudia Sheinbaum as Morena’s candidate for president; 21%, by Marcelo Ebrard, but 34%, by none.

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Trix Barber

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