The PP could recover the Valencian government if the UP does not exceed the electoral threshold of 5%

A technical draw between the left and right blocks of the Valencian Communitywith the 5% mark for Unides Podem as a key point, and a clear victory for the PP in the Community of Madrid are two of the conclusions left by the electoral polls published this Sunday, the day before 28M.

The PP will be around 31.7% of the votes in the elections to the Valencian Parliament next Sunday, according to the 40dB poll for El País and La Ser, and will be followed by the PSOE with 25.6%, Compromís with 17.4%, Vox with 13.3% and UP with 5.2%, slightly higher. above the minimum bar of 5% to gain places.

This barrier could be the key to see which bloc wins, because if the UP overcomes it, it would obtain 5 seats, which would be added to the 18 that Compromís could reach and the 27 of the PSOE would reach 50, an absolute majority that would be the basis for that a Botanical pact can be reissued. On the contrary, if the UP does not reach 5%, the PP and Vox could reach more than half of the 99 seats in Parliamentas predicted by another poll published this Sunday, that of IMOP-Insights for El Confidencial, which gives the PP 32.8% of the vote and Vox 14.1%.

According to this survey, the PSOE will remain at 25.5%, Compromís at 18.3% and UP at 4.6%, near the bar but outside Parliament, like the Cs with 1.6%. For the Assembly of Madrid, with 135 seats at stake, 40dB provides between 66 and 69 for the PP with 46.8%, above the between 26 and 28 of Más Madrid with 18.8%, 25 or 26 of the PSOE with 17.6% and the 11 or 12 of Vox with 8.4%.